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IMF: India to overtake Japan in 2025 and Germany in 2027

Utkarsh Classes Last Updated 24-03-2025
IMF: India to overtake Japan in 2025 and Germany in 2027 Report 5 min read

According to the recently released data by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Indian economy is likely to overtake Japan in 2025 and Germany in 2027 to become the world’s third largest economy after the United States of America and China. 

The positive report of the IMF comes after a World Bank report which suggested that  India needs to grow at an average annual growth rate of 7.8 percent to achieve the target of Viksit Bharat or a developed country by 2047. 

Main Points of the IMF Data

The following are the main points of the IMF Data.

  • The real gross domestic product (GDP) of India has doubled from $2.1 trillion in 2015 to $4.3 trillion in 2025.
  • The growth rate of India was 105  percent which is the highest growth rate amongst the major economies.
  • The growth rate of the United States during this period was 66 percent and China was 76 percent during this period.
  • Surprisingly Japan whose real GDP was 4.4 trillion in 2015 remained at 4.4 trillion in 2025,showing a growth rate of 0 percent. 
  • IMF estimates that with the current growth rate India is expected to surpass Japan in 2025 and Germany in 2027.
  • India is currently the fifth-largest economy in the world after the United States of America, China, Germany, and Japan.

USA is still the largest economy in the World 

The IMF data mentions that the United States remains the largest economy in the world with a real GDP of $ 30.3 trillion in 2025 as compared to $ 18.3 trillion in 2015. 

China with an impressive growth rate of 76 % has increased its real GDP from  $11.2 trillion in 2015 to $19.5 trillion in 2025.

Many had projected China to overtake the United States as the world’s largest economy. However economic disruption in China due to the covid pandemic and the continuing problem in its real estate sector has slowed its economic growth rate.

On the other hand, the United States economy has shown resilience and is expected to show strong growth in the future.

Performance of the top Major Economies in the world (2015-2025)

Following is the list of the top 11 countries of the world and their performance from 2015 to 2025.

Rank in the world (Real GDP) 

Country

Real GDP in 2015

(in US Dollars and in Trillion)

Real GDP in 2025

(in US Dollars and in Trillion

Percentage growth in the last 10 years

1

United States 

11.8 

30.3 

66

2

China

11.1

19.5

76

3

Germany

3.4

4.9

44

4

Japan

4.4

4.4

0

5

India

2.1

4.3

105

6

United Kingdom

2.9

3.7

28

7

France 

2.4

3.3

38

8

Italy 

1.8

2.5

39

9

Canada

1.6

2.3

44

10

Brazil 

1.8

2.3

28

11

Russia

1.4

2.2

57

About International Monetary Fund (IMF)

The International Monetary Fund is a multilateral institution that was set up in 1944.

The IMF provides loans to member countries facing economic crises/balance of payment crises.

Members;189 countries.

Headquarters: Washington D.C, USA

Managing Director: Kristalina Georgieva

Important reports issued by the IMF

  • World Economic Outlook 
  • Global Financial Stability Report 
  • Fiscal Monitor 

Also Read:

World Bank: India needs 7.8 % growth to become Viksit Bharat  by 2047

FAQ

Answer: 2025. It also expects India to overtake Germany in 2027 to become the third-largest economy after the United States and China.

Answer: Japan

Answer: 189
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